NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR WIU
Points 77.0 62.3
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 46.9 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 19.5
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.3
Shooting UALR WIU
Field Goals Made 29.7 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.2
Field Goal % 49.1% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 20.4
Free Throw % 68.4% 65.3%
Ball Control UALR WIU
Rebounds 39.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.7
Turnovers 8.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 5.2 1.2
Steals 6.5 4.3
Fouls 13.7 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Little Rock

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR WIU
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 68.3
% of Possessions with UALR WIU
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 25.7%
Player Fouled 17.3% 20.0%
Turnover 12.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR WIU
Shot Blocked 2.2% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 27.7%