NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR UTA
Points 72.6 76.8
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 28.7
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.9
Shooting UALR UTA
Field Goals Made 25.5 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.1
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 73.6%
Ball Control UALR UTA
Rebounds 34.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.9
Turnovers 13.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.4
Steals 5.4 6.4
Fouls 17.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR UTA
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.0
% of Possessions with UALR UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 33.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 31.2%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.7%
Turnover 18.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR UTA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 32.7%