NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR UNT
Points 66.1 72.0
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 15.1
Shooting UALR UNT
Field Goals Made 23.9 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 57.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 12.5 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 20.1
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.1%
Ball Control UALR UNT
Rebounds 34.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.3
Turnovers 12.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.0
Steals 4.8 6.5
Fouls 14.0 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR UNT
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 69.5
% of Possessions with UALR UNT
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 28.9%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.7%
Turnover 18.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR UNT
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 31.7%