NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR APP
Points 67.1 77.4
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 21.2
Points From Free Throws 9.4 13.7
Shooting UALR APP
Field Goals Made 26.0 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 62.2
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 9.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 19.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 69.5%
Ball Control UALR APP
Rebounds 37.9 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.7
Turnovers 10.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.4
Steals 5.3 5.2
Fouls 14.2 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: App State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR APP
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 74.1
% of Possessions with UALR APP
2 Point Attempt 56.9% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 24.1%
Player Fouled 15.2% 19.5%
Turnover 14.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR APP
Shot Blocked 8.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 28.8%