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Troy at Louisiana
Sat Jan 22, 2022
8:00pm ET
Lafayette, LA
Troy at Louisiana: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UL Lafayette by 4, Total Points: 143
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ULL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-10-1 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-2-1 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 9-10-0 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | University of Fort Lauderdale | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Grambling St | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SIU Edward | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Dayton | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Old Dominion | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisiana | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Texas St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | GA Southern | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgia St | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Marshall | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kent St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Arkansas St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Texas St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Youngs St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Toledo | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Louisiana College | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wright St | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Buffalo | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Loyola (LA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 11/30 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Rice | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Marshall | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Troy | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Arkansas St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 18 | +19.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Alabama | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Arkansas St | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Texas St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Alabama | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Old Dominion | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | App State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Troy | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | S Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 27 | -24.0 |
| ULL -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3206 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like UL Lafayette won the game 2047 times (63.8%).
- The team like Troy won the game 1159 times (36.2%).
- The team like UL Lafayette did better against the spread, going 1574-1550-82 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4746 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Troy did better against the spread, going 2351-2302-93 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 07:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/22 07:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:49 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 04:18 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 03:13 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 12:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:49 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 10:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 08:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/22 07:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 05:43 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/21 08:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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