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AR Lit Rock at Arkansas
Sat Dec 4, 2021
4:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
AR Lit Rock at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 27.5, Total Points: 148
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UALR | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 13-5-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 5-11-0 |
AR Lit Rock Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Illinois | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Georgia St | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Georgia St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Tulsa | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 26 | +24.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Central Ark | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Winthrop | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | UTSA | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | TN Tech | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | TN State | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | SIU Edward | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | E Illinois | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TN Martin | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Indiana | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Lindenwood | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | SE Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | SIU Edward | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Illinois | -2.5 | W by 24 | +21.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | TN Martin | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | W Illinois | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Morehead St | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | S Indiana | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | SE Missouri | -7.0 | W by 22 | +15.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Lindenwood | -11.5 | W by 9 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | TN State | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | TN Tech | -13.5 | W by 38 | +24.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | W Illinois | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Fairfield | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -27.5 | Open | -24.5 | High | -27.5 |
| Last | -27.0 | Low | -24.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 192 games where the closing line favored the home team by 26.5 to 28.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 191 times (99.5%).
- The team like Little Rock won the game 1 times (0.5%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 94-94-4 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 244 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 124-112-8 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -27.5 | -27.5 | -27.0 |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.0 | -25.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 03:58 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:05 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:49 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:55 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:01 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:23 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:55 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:34 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 12/04 08:25 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:14 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 12/04 07:28 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:58 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:45 AM | -- | -- | -27.0 |
| 12/04 02:25 AM | -- | -- | -26.5 |
| 12/04 12:24 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -26.5 |
| 12/03 11:52 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -25.5 |
| 12/03 10:04 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 12/03 09:52 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:14 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 12/03 08:55 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:04 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 12/03 05:56 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
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