NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC UTAH
Points 69.4 64.3
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 21.2
Points From Free Throws 9.4 13.0
Shooting USC UTAH
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 58.0
Field Goal % 45.8% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 42.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 9.4 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 17.8
Free Throw % 64.6% 72.7%
Ball Control USC UTAH
Rebounds 37.7 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.6
Turnovers 11.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.1
Steals 6.5 6.4
Fouls 15.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC UTAH
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 68.4
% of Possessions with USC UTAH
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.2%
Turnover 16.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC UTAH
Shot Blocked 3.8% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.3%