NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC UTAH
Points 75.5 77.2
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 33.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.1
Shooting USC UTAH
Field Goals Made 27.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 62.4
Field Goal % 43.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 17.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 63.4%
Ball Control USC UTAH
Rebounds 37.5 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.0
Turnovers 9.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.8
Steals 6.9 5.5
Fouls 14.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC UTAH
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 72.7
% of Possessions with USC UTAH
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 32.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.9%
Turnover 13.1% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 26.1%