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USC at Nevada
Sat Nov 16, 2019
11:00pm ET
Reno, NV
USC at Nevada: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 3.5, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-17-0 | 21-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 10-6-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 11-6-0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| USC -3.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1609 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 971 times (60.3%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 638 times (39.7%).
- The team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 800-781-28 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1519 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 747-738-34 (50.3% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/16 10:12 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:09 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/16 10:07 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/16 06:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/15 09:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/15 07:14 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/15 05:54 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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