NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH STAN
Points 82.5 76.2
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 26.7
Points From Free Throws 9.0 11.1
Shooting UTAH STAN
Field Goals Made 31.1 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 63.1
Field Goal % 47.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 9.0 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 15.0
Free Throw % 63.4% 73.9%
Ball Control UTAH STAN
Rebounds 38.5 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.1
Turnovers 10.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 5.9 5.0
Fouls 13.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH STAN
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 71.9
% of Possessions with UTAH STAN
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 18.5%
Turnover 13.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH STAN
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 19.2%