NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH WSU
Points 69.9 72.6
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.6 11.8
Shooting UTAH WSU
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 63.1
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 10.6 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 16.7
Free Throw % 63.4% 71.0%
Ball Control UTAH WSU
Rebounds 35.6 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.6
Turnovers 9.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.5
Steals 4.6 4.6
Fouls 14.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH WSU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 73.2
% of Possessions with UTAH WSU
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.6% 19.6%
Turnover 13.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH WSU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 27.6%