NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH ORE
Points 76.7 75.9
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.6 12.6
Shooting UTAH ORE
Field Goals Made 28.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 64.1
Field Goal % 46.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 10.6 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 17.2
Free Throw % 63.4% 72.9%
Ball Control UTAH ORE
Rebounds 37.6 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.7
Steals 4.5 6.3
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH ORE
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 74.0
% of Possessions with UTAH ORE
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.1%
Turnover 14.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH ORE
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 24.2%