NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH ORE
Points 76.4 74.8
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.5
Shooting UTAH ORE
Field Goals Made 28.1 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 64.1
Field Goal % 46.5% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 17.1
Free Throw % 63.9% 72.9%
Ball Control UTAH ORE
Rebounds 38.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.4
Turnovers 10.8 8.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.6
Steals 4.5 6.4
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH ORE
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 73.9
% of Possessions with UTAH ORE
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.0%
Turnover 14.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH ORE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 24.0%