NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH TCU
Points 77.6 77.3
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 21.1
Points From Free Throws 11.6 13.8
Shooting UTAH TCU
Field Goals Made 28.7 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 66.5
Field Goal % 48.5% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 46.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 11.6 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.0
Free Throw % 63.4% 72.7%
Ball Control UTAH TCU
Rebounds 36.9 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.0
Turnovers 12.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.7
Steals 5.1 7.6
Fouls 14.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH TCU
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 77.7
% of Possessions with UTAH TCU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 22.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 18.8%
Turnover 17.1% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH TCU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 29.5%