NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH WASH
Points 82.4 79.8
Total Points   162.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 24.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.7
Shooting UTAH WASH
Field Goals Made 30.4 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 65.6
Field Goal % 46.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 17.8
Free Throw % 63.4% 71.5%
Ball Control UTAH WASH
Rebounds 40.5 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.3
Turnovers 10.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.4
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 15.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH WASH
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 75.8
% of Possessions with UTAH WASH
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.2%
Turnover 13.0% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH WASH
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 21.4%