NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH WVU
Points 67.1 76.0
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 21.5
Points From Free Throws 12.3 12.2
Shooting UTAH WVU
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 58.3
Field Goal % 43.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 18.1
Free Throw % 74.9% 67.3%
Ball Control UTAH WVU
Rebounds 32.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.4
Turnovers 10.7 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.6
Steals 4.8 5.5
Fouls 13.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: West Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH WVU
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 68.9
% of Possessions with UTAH WVU
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.8%
Turnover 15.9% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH WVU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.4%