NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH WVU
Points 64.0 70.7
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.1 11.5
Shooting UTAH WVU
Field Goals Made 21.8 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 58.7
Field Goal % 39.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 16.4
Free Throw % 62.6% 69.7%
Ball Control UTAH WVU
Rebounds 40.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.2
Turnovers 11.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.0
Steals 4.4 6.9
Fouls 14.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH WVU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 68.6
% of Possessions with UTAH WVU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 34.5%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.2%
Turnover 17.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH WVU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 22.7%