NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH USC
Points 77.2 75.5
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 23.8
Points From Free Throws 11.1 12.1
Shooting UTAH USC
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 63.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 11.1 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 17.5
Free Throw % 63.4% 69.5%
Ball Control UTAH USC
Rebounds 39.4 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.4
Turnovers 11.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.9
Steals 5.5 6.9
Fouls 14.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH USC
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 74.1
% of Possessions with UTAH USC
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.9% 19.1%
Turnover 15.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH USC
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 24.2%