NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTAH NEV
Points 71.7 72.7
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 21.3
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.2
Shooting UTAH NEV
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.0
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.4
Free Throw % 63.4% 71.2%
Ball Control UTAH NEV
Rebounds 37.4 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.0
Turnovers 10.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 4.3 5.7
Fouls 17.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTAH NEV
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 70.6
% of Possessions with UTAH NEV
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.8%
Turnover 14.7% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTAH NEV
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.1%