NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO UNCO
Points 69.6 77.4
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 22.1
Points From Free Throws 9.9 12.8
Shooting IDHO UNCO
Field Goals Made 25.5 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.5
Field Goal % 44.1% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 17.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 74.6%
Ball Control IDHO UNCO
Rebounds 30.2 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 6.2
Turnovers 10.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.8
Steals 4.9 6.0
Fouls 14.4 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO UNCO
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 66.5
% of Possessions with IDHO UNCO
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 26.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.7%
Turnover 14.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO UNCO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 20.6%