NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO NDSU
Points 71.3 72.3
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 21.2
Points From Free Throws 9.4 14.6
Shooting IDHO NDSU
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 52.0
Field Goal % 48.7% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 9.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 19.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 74.1%
Ball Control IDHO NDSU
Rebounds 28.4 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 6.6
Turnovers 8.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.4
Steals 4.7 3.9
Fouls 16.2 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO NDSU
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 63.4
% of Possessions with IDHO NDSU
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.1% 24.2%
Turnover 13.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO NDSU
Shot Blocked 2.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 22.4%