NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO MTST
Points 66.3 74.2
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 13.8
Shooting IDHO MTST
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.2
Field Goal % 44.7% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 19.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.4%
Ball Control IDHO MTST
Rebounds 30.9 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 5.8
Turnovers 12.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 4.7 7.6
Fouls 16.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO MTST
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 64.4
% of Possessions with IDHO MTST
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 24.4%
Turnover 17.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO MTST
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 19.3%