NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO MONT
Points 65.9 75.9
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 23.2
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.5
Shooting IDHO MONT
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.7
Field Goal % 43.2% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 18.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 80.1%
Ball Control IDHO MONT
Rebounds 29.0 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 6.4
Turnovers 8.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.3
Steals 4.5 4.4
Fouls 15.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO MONT
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 64.3
% of Possessions with IDHO MONT
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.3%
Turnover 13.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO MONT
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 22.3%