NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO CSUS
Points 64.7 65.7
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 20.7
Points From Free Throws 10.2 13.7
Shooting IDHO CSUS
Field Goals Made 23.6 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 51.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 10.2 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 19.1
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.7%
Ball Control IDHO CSUS
Rebounds 27.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 10.3
Turnovers 10.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 5.4 5.3
Fouls 15.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Sac State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO CSUS
Total Possessions 64.7
Effective Scoring Chances 60.5 63.3
% of Possessions with IDHO CSUS
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 27.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 23.7%
Turnover 15.5% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO CSUS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 32.6%