NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO NAU
Points 68.6 68.5
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 18.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.8
Shooting IDHO NAU
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 53.7
Field Goal % 45.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 69.2%
Ball Control IDHO NAU
Rebounds 32.5 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.6
Turnovers 10.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.4
Steals 5.5 5.3
Fouls 16.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO NAU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 65.8
% of Possessions with IDHO NAU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 24.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.7%
Turnover 15.1% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO NAU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 23.2%