NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDHO PRST
Points 66.7 69.3
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 21.1
Points From Free Throws 12.0 16.1
Shooting IDHO PRST
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 55.7
Field Goal % 43.7% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 23.2
Free Throw % 74.3% 69.4%
Ball Control IDHO PRST
Rebounds 32.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.4
Turnovers 12.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.5
Steals 4.4 6.7
Fouls 16.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDHO PRST
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 69.8
% of Possessions with IDHO PRST
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 26.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.1%
Turnover 17.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDHO PRST
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 28.4%