NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV CREI
Points 59.2 93.4
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 49.2
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 30.6
Points From Free Throws 8.5 13.6
Shooting UTRGV CREI
Field Goals Made 23.3 34.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.8 61.0
Field Goal % 34.4% 57.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 36.7% 72.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 8.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 16.9
Free Throw % 71.1% 80.8%
Ball Control UTRGV CREI
Rebounds 28.0 45.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 7.7
Turnovers 8.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.6
Steals 6.0 3.9
Fouls 14.5 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV CREI
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 71.5
% of Possessions with UTRGV CREI
2 Point Attempt 62.2% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 32.6%
Player Fouled 14.4% 19.5%
Turnover 11.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV CREI
Shot Blocked 9.2% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 16.9% 27.4%