NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV AMCC
Points 68.1 75.9
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 45.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 14.7
Points From Free Throws 20.2 15.5
Shooting UTRGV AMCC
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 61.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 45.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 20.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 21.6
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.6%
Ball Control UTRGV AMCC
Rebounds 32.2 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 12.1
Turnovers 13.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.9
Steals 6.4 8.2
Fouls 15.6 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV AMCC
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 75.7
% of Possessions with UTRGV AMCC
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 18.7%
Player Fouled 26.8% 20.8%
Turnover 18.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV AMCC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 32.2%