NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV SDST
Points 66.1 81.9
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 45.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 23.7
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.8
Shooting UTRGV SDST
Field Goals Made 23.2 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 58.2
Field Goal % 39.9% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.3%
Ball Control UTRGV SDST
Rebounds 30.2 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.4
Turnovers 11.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 7.3 5.8
Fouls 15.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV SDST
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.0
% of Possessions with UTRGV SDST
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.6%
Turnover 15.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV SDST
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 24.4%