NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV TEX
Points 59.5 88.6
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 20.0
Points From Free Throws 15.3 14.3
Shooting UTRGV TEX
Field Goals Made 19.9 33.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 60.7
Field Goal % 36.0% 55.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 64.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 18.7
Free Throw % 71.1% 76.5%
Ball Control UTRGV TEX
Rebounds 27.4 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.5
Turnovers 13.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 6.4
Steals 5.7 7.1
Fouls 15.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV TEX
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 72.6
% of Possessions with UTRGV TEX
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 22.5%
Player Fouled 21.5% 20.4%
Turnover 18.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV TEX
Shot Blocked 10.7% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 32.3%