NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV SFA
Points 66.5 78.2
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 17.4
Points From Free Throws 19.8 17.3
Shooting UTRGV SFA
Field Goals Made 20.8 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.8 56.9
Field Goal % 41.7% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 19.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.9 24.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 70.3%
Ball Control UTRGV SFA
Rebounds 29.5 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.6
Turnovers 16.7 14.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.9
Steals 7.4 8.4
Fouls 18.3 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV SFA
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 73.0
% of Possessions with UTRGV SFA
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 20.0%
Player Fouled 25.5% 24.1%
Turnover 22.0% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV SFA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 34.5%