NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV CSB
Points 65.3 75.0
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 48.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 13.0
Points From Free Throws 21.5 13.9
Shooting UTRGV CSB
Field Goals Made 19.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.2 58.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 4.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 21.5 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 30.3 19.0
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.0%
Ball Control UTRGV CSB
Rebounds 28.9 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.9
Turnovers 12.8 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.4
Steals 6.5 6.5
Fouls 15.0 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV CSB
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 71.6
% of Possessions with UTRGV CSB
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 53.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 16.4%
Player Fouled 27.5% 20.9%
Turnover 17.7% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV CSB
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 35.6%