NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV UVU
Points 63.8 75.9
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 48.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 14.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 13.4
Shooting UTRGV UVU
Field Goals Made 21.4 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 60.1
Field Goal % 38.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.4
Free Throw % 71.1% 65.3%
Ball Control UTRGV UVU
Rebounds 32.1 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.5
Turnovers 12.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 6.4
Steals 7.1 6.8
Fouls 15.6 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV UVU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.1
% of Possessions with UTRGV UVU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 19.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.0%
Turnover 17.1% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV UVU
Shot Blocked 10.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 29.8%