NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST UNCO
Points 72.7 78.7
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.6 13.1
Shooting PRST UNCO
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 58.3
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 13.6 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 17.6
Free Throw % 69.4% 74.6%
Ball Control PRST UNCO
Rebounds 35.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 6.6
Turnovers 9.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.6
Steals 6.4 5.1
Fouls 15.2 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST UNCO
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 68.8
% of Possessions with PRST UNCO
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.7%
Turnover 13.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST UNCO
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 20.9%