NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST ORST
Points 64.9 74.5
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 17.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.3
Shooting PRST ORST
Field Goals Made 21.4 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 52.0
Field Goal % 36.9% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 23.5
Free Throw % 69.4% 73.5%
Ball Control PRST ORST
Rebounds 33.2 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.0
Turnovers 10.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.4
Steals 5.8 5.3
Fouls 19.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST ORST
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 66.6
% of Possessions with PRST ORST
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 21.5%
Player Fouled 22.9% 27.5%
Turnover 15.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST ORST
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 26.6%