NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST SBON
Points 67.1 76.5
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 11.9 17.1
Shooting CLEVST SBON
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 54.7
Field Goal % 41.6% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 22.1
Free Throw % 65.8% 77.3%
Ball Control CLEVST SBON
Rebounds 32.1 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.1
Turnovers 9.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.5
Steals 5.4 4.8
Fouls 15.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST SBON
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 68.4
% of Possessions with CLEVST SBON
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.4%
Turnover 13.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST SBON
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 32.3%