NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST WMU
Points 74.7 69.5
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.8
Shooting CLEVST WMU
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 56.7
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.5
Free Throw % 65.8% 61.5%
Ball Control CLEVST WMU
Rebounds 36.6 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 13.8
Turnovers 7.8 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.5
Steals 7.8 3.4
Fouls 16.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST WMU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.2 71.7
% of Possessions with CLEVST WMU
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 27.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.4%
Turnover 11.0% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST WMU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 36.8%