NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST OAK
Points 71.1 76.5
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 24.7
Points From Free Throws 10.8 16.7
Shooting CLEVST OAK
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 58.4
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 10.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 21.8
Free Throw % 65.8% 76.4%
Ball Control CLEVST OAK
Rebounds 36.2 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.5
Turnovers 8.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.6
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 15.8 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST OAK
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 71.7
% of Possessions with CLEVST OAK
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.9% 22.4%
Turnover 12.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST OAK
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 32.5%