NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST CSUS
Points 67.9 66.1
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 21.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.1
Shooting PRST CSUS
Field Goals Made 23.5 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 51.9
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 19.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.7%
Ball Control PRST CSUS
Rebounds 31.6 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.7
Turnovers 9.6 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.9
Steals 7.0 4.5
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST CSUS
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 64.8
% of Possessions with PRST CSUS
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.7%
Turnover 14.1% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST CSUS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 33.1%