NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST NAU
Points 72.5 69.3
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 19.0
Points From Free Throws 17.0 14.2
Shooting PRST NAU
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 55.0
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 20.6
Free Throw % 69.4% 69.2%
Ball Control PRST NAU
Rebounds 38.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 7.2 4.5
Fouls 17.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST NAU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 67.7
% of Possessions with PRST NAU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 24.7%
Player Fouled 23.0% 23.7%
Turnover 13.7% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST NAU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 23.5%