NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST NKU
Points 75.6 73.9
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 17.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 16.9
Shooting CLEVST NKU
Field Goals Made 28.9 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 56.6
Field Goal % 45.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 11.4 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 23.1
Free Throw % 65.8% 73.1%
Ball Control CLEVST NKU
Rebounds 36.8 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.2
Turnovers 10.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 1.9
Steals 6.9 5.9
Fouls 16.7 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST NKU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 70.5
% of Possessions with CLEVST NKU
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 18.6% 23.1%
Turnover 14.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST NKU
Shot Blocked 3.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 29.7%