NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST PORT
Points 74.6 72.4
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 26.7
Points From Free Throws 10.3 14.0
Shooting PRST PORT
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 55.1
Field Goal % 41.5% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 10.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 19.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 70.9%
Ball Control PRST PORT
Rebounds 36.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.6
Turnovers 8.1 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 6.0 3.4
Fouls 17.7 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST PORT
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 67.0
% of Possessions with PRST PORT
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.2% 31.1%
Player Fouled 18.6% 24.9%
Turnover 11.3% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST PORT
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 22.8%