NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST TOL
Points 79.0 80.4
Total Points   159.4
Points From 2-Pointers 50.8 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 16.9
Points From Free Throws 10.1 18.9
Shooting CLEVST TOL
Field Goals Made 31.4 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 56.4
Field Goal % 49.5% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 25.4 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 10.1 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 25.5
Free Throw % 65.8% 74.2%
Ball Control CLEVST TOL
Rebounds 33.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.6
Turnovers 9.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 1.7
Steals 6.7 5.0
Fouls 17.7 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST TOL
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 71.2
% of Possessions with CLEVST TOL
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 20.2%
Player Fouled 17.6% 24.6%
Turnover 13.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST TOL
Shot Blocked 3.1% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 30.0%