NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST UNCW
Points 71.8 77.6
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 20.1
Points From Free Throws 12.0 18.3
Shooting CLEVST UNCW
Field Goals Made 26.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 57.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 23.7
Free Throw % 65.8% 77.5%
Ball Control CLEVST UNCW
Rebounds 34.0 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.4
Turnovers 8.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.0
Steals 4.5 4.3
Fouls 16.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Wilmgton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST UNCW
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 71.5
% of Possessions with CLEVST UNCW
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.7%
Turnover 12.5% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST UNCW
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 33.8%