NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST SUU
Points 73.4 74.8
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.7 17.5
Shooting PRST SUU
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 56.6
Field Goal % 42.2% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 24.5
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.3%
Ball Control PRST SUU
Rebounds 38.6 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.1
Turnovers 10.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 6.2 5.2
Fouls 18.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST SUU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 71.5
% of Possessions with PRST SUU
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 24.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 25.6%
Turnover 14.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST SUU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 26.1%