NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEVST DETU
Points 79.6 67.0
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 47.6 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 15.7
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.1
Shooting CLEVST DETU
Field Goals Made 30.2 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 53.8
Field Goal % 48.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 25.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 20.3
Free Throw % 65.8% 74.1%
Ball Control CLEVST DETU
Rebounds 38.0 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 8.8
Turnovers 9.0 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.9
Steals 6.5 5.1
Fouls 16.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEVST DETU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 66.2
% of Possessions with CLEVST DETU
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.6% 23.0%
Turnover 12.8% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEVST DETU
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 38.0% 26.5%