NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST HAW
Points 65.4 73.6
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 21.8
Points From Free Throws 14.0 17.3
Shooting PRST HAW
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 51.2
Field Goal % 39.5% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.9
Free Throw % 69.4% 72.5%
Ball Control PRST HAW
Rebounds 32.1 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.3
Turnovers 9.6 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.4
Steals 6.0 3.7
Fouls 18.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST HAW
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 65.9
% of Possessions with PRST HAW
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 26.0%
Turnover 13.4% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST HAW
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 23.8%