NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRST WEB
Points 68.8 74.5
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.2
Shooting PRST WEB
Field Goals Made 24.5 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 52.9
Field Goal % 44.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 22.0
Free Throw % 69.4% 73.7%
Ball Control PRST WEB
Rebounds 32.9 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.7
Steals 5.2 5.7
Fouls 17.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST WEB
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 66.2
% of Possessions with PRST WEB
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 27.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 25.3%
Turnover 16.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST WEB
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 22.6%