NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN COLO
Points 77.5 69.1
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 19.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 16.3
Shooting TENN COLO
Field Goals Made 27.9 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 55.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 21.5
Free Throw % 75.4% 76.0%
Ball Control TENN COLO
Rebounds 35.3 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.1
Turnovers 8.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 1.3
Steals 8.0 5.1
Fouls 16.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN COLO
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 67.8
% of Possessions with TENN COLO
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 22.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.3%
Turnover 11.2% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN COLO
Shot Blocked 2.5% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 26.6%