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Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Wed Feb 24, 2021
9:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
Tennessee at Vanderbilt: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Tennessee by 11.5, Total Points: 138.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | VAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-17-1 | 15-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 10-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-12-0 | 7-6-1 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TN Tech | -32.5 | W by 38 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wofford | -31.5 | W by 21 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Kansas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Geo Mason | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Illinois | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | GA Southern | -34.0 | W by 18 | -16.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Tarleton St | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Norfolk St | -24.0 | W by 37 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miss State | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | S Carolina | -14.0 | L by 4 | -18.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | LSU | -14.0 | W by 20 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Vanderbilt | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Miss State | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | St Peters | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Presbyterian | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | SC Upstate | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Central Ark | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arizona St | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Francisco | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Memphis | +16.0 | L by 2 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama | +13.0 | L by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LSU | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Auburn | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miss State | +13.0 | L by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Tennessee | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Auburn | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Missouri | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Carolina | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Texas A&M | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Tennessee | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Georgia | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Florida | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | LSU | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | L by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| TENN -11.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 352 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Tennessee won the game 306 times (86.9%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 46 times (13.1%).
- The team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 179-168-5 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 7 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 5-2 (71.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -6.5 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/24 09:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 02/24 08:59 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/24 08:29 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 02/24 07:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:53 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:50 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 03:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:20 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:56 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:08 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/24 09:08 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:04 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/24 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/24 08:53 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/23 11:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/23 10:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
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