NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TENN VAN
Points 82.8 60.1
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.9 19.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.4
Shooting TENN VAN
Field Goals Made 28.9 19.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 58.1
Field Goal % 46.3% 33.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 25.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 20.4
Free Throw % 75.4% 70.7%
Ball Control TENN VAN
Rebounds 43.9 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.8
Turnovers 8.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.9
Steals 5.7 5.2
Fouls 14.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Vanderbilt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TENN VAN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 70.3
% of Possessions with TENN VAN
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 29.9%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.0%
Turnover 12.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TENN VAN
Shot Blocked 3.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 23.7%